Bastrop Cedar Creek at Smithson Valley

VS

# Smithson Valley vs. Bastrop Cedar Creek Preview The model likes Smithson Valley by a field goal in this district showdown, but barely, with the home team sitting at just 55% win probability. That's basically a coin flip with a slight lean, and you know what that means, folks, the upset special is on the menu. Bastrop Cedar Creek has the look of a team that could absolutely steal one on the road, making this a prime spot to fade the algorithm if you're feeling spicy. This one's got toss-up written all over it, so trust your gut over the numbers.

• AI prediction: Smithson Valley by 16 · Favored
• Win probability: Smithson Valley 88%, Bastrop Cedar Creek 12%
• Smithson Valley is the model's favorite; Bastrop Cedar Creek is the underdog
• District game: playoff seeding is on the line