Friday, September 18, 2026 · Non-district · Texas HS football
Santa Rosa at Santa Maria
Texas high school football preview & AI prediction
AI prediction: Santa Rosa by 1 · Toss-up
Santa Maria 49%51% Santa Rosa
# Santa Rosa at Santa Maria, 2026
Santa Rosa heads to Santa Maria as a razor-thin favorite in this non-district matchup, with our model giving the visitors just a one-point edge in what amounts to a true toss-up. The prediction leans Santa Rosa, but barely, with the home team sitting right at 49 percent win probability, meaning this game could genuinely go either way. So here's the question for the faithful: do you trust the algorithm's cautious lean toward Santa Rosa, or do you fade it and back the home crowd advantage at Santa Maria? Either way, expect a competitive battle that could be decided by the slimmest of margins.
- AI prediction: Santa Rosa by 1 · Toss-up
- Win probability: Santa Maria 49%, Santa Rosa 51%
- Santa Rosa is the model's favorite; Santa Maria is the underdog
- Non-district game: an early-season measuring stick
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Gameday
KickoffFriday, September 18, 2026
WhereSanta Maria (home)
WeatherUpdates closer to kickoff
Bragging Rights
All-time seriesSanta Maria 0 · Santa Rosa 0
Holds the trophyUp for grabs
Winner takes bragging rights and holds them until these two meet again.
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Independent, unofficial fan content. Predictions by the Friday Night Picks AI model. Not affiliated with UIL or either school.