San Antonio Sam Houston at San Antonio McCollum

# Sam Houston at McCollum, District Showdown The algorithm likes McCollum in this one, calling for a razor-thin 2-point home victory with a 55% win probability, but don't sleep on that "toss-up" designation, because this matchup screams unpredictability. Sam Houston will make the short trip across San Antonio looking to prove the model underestimated their chances in what projects as a genuine coin flip. McCollum gets the home-field edge and slight favor, but this is exactly the kind of district game where fan instinct might just outplay the data. So the question is simple: do you trust the computer's marginal lean toward McCollum, or do you fade it and back the Riders to steal this one on the road?

• AI prediction: San Antonio McCollum by 2 · Toss-up
• Win probability: San Antonio McCollum 55%, San Antonio Sam Houston 45%
• San Antonio McCollum is the model's favorite; San Antonio Sam Houston is the underdog
• District game: playoff seeding is on the line